It's tin hat time again for Newcastle fans
Now that you have dusted yourself off from the Villa Park capitulation perhaps it is time to look at the cold facts of what's left of Newcastle United's faltering campaign.
Depending on if you are in the "We're too good to go down" camp or the "Where is our next win coming from" camp you are still likely to need a tin hat between now and the end of the season.
But with 12 games to go Newcastle are probably going to need nine or 10 points just to be safe.
It's up to you if you want to predict the results of the fixtures but with Newcastle's season being the way it is, I honestly couldn't say that we'd steamroller say Fulham at home or say that we'd turn up at Everton on the final day and not pick up three points - we are the most unpredictable team in the Premier League.
And the fear factor is certainly around for me when it comes to the last 12 games.
It's the away games that worry me the most with Spurs, Everton, Liverpool and West Ham all tricky assignments and that's without mentioning places like Portsmouth or Birmingham.
And whatever you think about the home games, Newcastle will have to win at least three or four of those in order to seal our place.
Failure to do that and heaven knows what happens next season.
Who would stay? Who would go? Who would come in?
It would be all in the mixer.
But if things all go to plan and we don't cause one of football's major shocks and go down -which most of the national Press seem to be hoping happens in the end - Newcastle can start the rebuilding as soon as the final whistle goes at Goodison Park.
Then the hard work will really start and KK can start trying to bring in the players that can finally get the club back on track.
For now though as one of Keegan's old adversaries used to say: "It's squeaky bum time."
WHAT DO YOU THINK?